Bring in Verstappen if you don't own him, funded from a cheap driver who failed to finish in Singapore
Confidence
Medium-High
Verstappen has won the last two Grands Prix from pole and Austin is one of his strongest tracks. Medium-high overtaking means even a P4 or P5 start leaves him a big score. A dry forecast and a normal weekend give no strong case for a chip.
Bring in Antonelli if you do not own him. Leclerc is the value premium pick.
Confidence
High
Last Sprint of 2026 at a low-overtake street circuit, the best remaining 3X Boost conditions. Antonelli led the championship in the fastest car. Verstappen looked a weaker case after winning a wet Sepang.
Grade noteVerstappen won from pole and Antonelli finished third. We had called Verstappen a weaker case.
Best race pace and form (doesn't need pole at a high-overtake track)
Chip
No Negative
Transfer angle
Lean on recent form, favour mid-priced drivers who can move forward
Confidence
Medium
No 2026 data at Sepang and a high chance of rain made it a hard weekend to call. High overtaking meant the Boost did not need to sit on the polesitter. Rain and DNF risk made it a strong No Negative weekend.
Grade noteRain and Safety Cars made No Negative the right call. The Boost advice did not name a driver, so it is not graded as a full hit.